Everything You Wanted to Know About the PREFU

Bill English

Yesterday Bill English, Minister of Finance released the PREFU. NZ Young Nats Policy Chair Nick Cross explains what it is, and what it means:

In order to create open and accountable government in New Zealand, the Minister of Finance is required by the Public Finance Act to release the Pre-Election Economic and and Fiscal Update (PREFU) which sets out updated forecasts about key economic indicators. Yesterday Bill English released PREFU 2014

What does it tell us?

PREFU 2014 tells us that National is still very much the party of credible economic management. The economic growth forecast from March 2014- March 2015 has been revised down very slightly from 4% to 3.8%, still some of the highest growth in the OECD. The surplus as projected by Treasury is set to hit $300 million. Tax revenue is expected to rise from $61 billion this year to $77 billion by 2018.

Why did these changes happen?

Largely because of slightly lower than expected commodity prices in dairy and timber. However this fall is expected to be a short term fall in overseas demand as several countries look to reduce inventories and does not reflect any structural weakness according to Treasury Secretary Gabriel Makhlouf.

What does it mean?

It means that, on the latest figures, the economic recovery is still very much on track to take the New Zealand into strong growth. What I found most fascinating is how much new tax revenue this promises for the government, making Labour and the Greens new ‘tax the rich’ promises of $1billion more tax revenue seem insignificant. It suggests that business driven economic performance, and not new taxes which harm business, is the path to providing better social services.

National’s Cycleway Policy

Gerry and Bikes

John Key and Gerry Brownlee have announced National’s cycling policy today. $100 Million will be invested in urban cycle infrastructure in New Zealand’s main centres.

National recognises that commuting by bike has health benefits and takes pressure off other transport networks, but says cycleways in our largest centres are fragmented and offer varied levels of service.

“Many people cite safety concerns and a lack of infrastructure as reasons for not cycling, so we’re going to begin building cycleways to a standard that delivers real incentives for commuters to make a change.

“Building more comprehensive cycling networks will require new infrastructure to connect existing routes and expand the network into wider urban areas.

National is the party that is building the transport infrastructure to ensure people can reach their destinations quickly and safely. Better cycleways will mean that commuting by bike is a safer, more efficient option.

John Announcing

National Weekend of Action – How you can help.

Weekend of Action Cover PhotoB

This weekend is the Young Nats’ National Weekend of Action, a grassroots initiative by the Young Nats to get out on the campaign, make contact with National Party voters up and down the country and make sure we turn out the highest number of voters on September 20. We need to give John Key and our team at Parliament another three years to build a stronger, more confident New Zealand.

If you want to help, there’s going to be a range of different campaign activities on offer, in almost every part of the country. If you’ve subscribed to Young Nats emails in the past, you are sure to receive more information in your inbox, but here’s a summary.

Northern Young Nats will be visiting the Northcote and East Coast Bays electorates on Saturday [RSVP link], and Hunua and Papakura electorates on Sunday [RSVP link].

Central North Island Young Nats are road-tripping to Coromandel electorate to help Scott Simpson rally votes for National in Whitianga and Thames [RSVP link].

Lower North Island Young Nats will be campaigning in Rongotai on Saturday [RSVP link] and joining the movement for a Fresh Face for Hutt South, helping Chris Bishop on Sunday [RSVP link].

Canterbury Westland Young Nats will be heading into Christchurch Central, Waimakariri and Port Hills. To get the details, email sam.macdonald@national.org.nz

Southern Young Nats will be in Dunedin South getting out the vote for National and Hamish Walker, more information here [RSVP link].

Aussie Treasurer Envies Kiwi Economy

Joe Hockey

The Australian has reported that Joe Hockey, the Treasurer of Australia envies New Zealand for our falling jobless numbers.

Joe Hockey frequently admits he’s a little bit jealous of our cousins across the ditch, in an economic sense at least.

The treasurer’s green eye probably went an even deeper shade of emerald after New Zealand’s latest employment figures showed their jobless rate tumbled to a five-year low of 5.6 per cent in the June quarter from a revised 5.9 per cent previously.

Australia’s unemployment rate is at 6.4% and rising. Ours is 5.6% and falling Employment growth is faster here than across the ditch, and it’s down to the work done by John Key and Bill English.

The release of the NZ figures coincided with a speech by Mr Hockey to the national conference of the Australia and New Zealand School of Government.

He said New Zealand has stolen the advantage from Australia during the past few years by combining domestic structural reforms with newly negotiated trade opportunities in Asia.

“As a result, they have falling unemployment, rising living standards and a budget that is coming into surplus,” Mr Hockey said.

Faced with a hostile Senate over his first budget, Mr Hockey also said he was “quite jealous” that NZ Prime Minister John Key has to deal with only one parliamentary chamber.

Even so, Mr Key and Finance Minister Bill English are showing the world how economic reform should be done.
And it has not been achieved through “luck or complacency”.

“There is no she’ll-be-right attitude,” Mr Hockey said.


Meet the Candidate: Jono Naylor

Jono Naylor

Jono Naylor is National’s candidate for Palmerston North. He has served Palmy as its Mayor for the last  7 years, and iPredict gives him even odds to take the seat off Labour. Before local politics, he was a social worker and a counsellor. He’s also a musician who once sung the national anthem at an international netball test match. We had a few more questions to ask:

What is your number one policy goal for your time as an MP?

Creating as many jobs for New Zealanders as possible, thereby improving the chances for New Zealand families to thrive.

You’ve been the Mayor of Palmerston North since 2007 – what’s the best thing about Palmy?

Across the spectrum of opportunity, affordability and accessibility, it is clearly the best place in New Zealand to raise a family.

Tell us something about yourself that we wouldn’t already know?

The band I have been a part of for the past year and half have just released an EP. You can download it at https://trulymade.bandcamp.com/

What made you want to stand for National? What would you say inspires you politically?

I am motivated by improving people’s well-being. To achieve this we need a good balance of economic and social development. The National Party is the only party that has the policies and people capable of delivering the kind of New Zealand I want to live in.

Meet the Candidate: Todd Muller

Todd Muller

Todd Muller is the next MP for Bay of Plenty. He was Waikato Young Nationals chairman in 1990, and President of Waikato Student union in 1992. Since then he’s worked in great New Zealand businesses like Zespri and Fonterra. We got to know him a bit better:

What is your number one policy priority for your time in Parliament?

I want to ensure conditions for successful exporting to the world are constantly improved and enhanced. We are a trading nation, so open access to world markets plays to our competitive advantage of producing safe and nutritious food back up by world class innovation and manufacturing excellence.

Having worked in agribusiness, what do you see as the role of primary industries in 21st century New Zealand?

Helen Clark once said she thought Agribusiness was New Zealand’s sunset industry. Well, we would have had a long dark night of economic suffering over the last 6 years if it wasn’t for those same agribusinesses! Primary Industries are the backbone of this country – for this to continue we need to ensure the environment for success is maintained – stable economic management, investment in market focused innovation, a balance of environmental and economic success, and increased investment in our people.

What is something about you that we should know, but don’t know already?

With Peter Douglas (formerly Prime Minister’s Office, in the Bolger years) we bought Nelson Mandela a batik shirt in a Maori design which the great man wore in NZ. We then both got to meet him and he personally signed his Long Walk to Freedom autobiography for us

What makes the Bay of Plenty a place you’d like to represent?

It truly is one of New Zealand’s special places. Productive heartland that can grow anything well, due to its climate, stunning beaches, beautiful coastline and harbour, and great people – many who have moved from elsewhere to make something for themselves and their families. I like the mix of young making their way in the world, intergenerational and new entrant farming and our more mature residents who have chosen the Bay for the next stage in their life’s journey. The Bay is still primarily made up of smaller communities that are welcoming and friendly to one another, and I like that about my home town.

Meet the Candidate: Andrew Bayly

Andrew Bayly

Andrew Bayly is National’s candidate in Hunua. His career before politics includes military service, farming, business ownership, accounting and finance. He has served in the British Parachute Regiment, and owned an award-winning horticultural recycling and compost business. We wanted to know a bit more about him:

What is your biggest policy goal – what do you want to change in New Zealand?

Last week, during John Key’s visit to the United States, the Chairwoman of the US Federal Reserve referred to our economy: “I’ve just heard a lot of very good things about [it]… it seems to be doing extremely well.” Indeed, growth has climbed to 3.8%, primary exports are at record highs, Crown debt is under control, and we are bringing expatriate Kiwis home. This is an incredible start, but it must be sustainable over the longer term. I aspire to be a part of this team that continues to create an environment where businesses can thrive and investment in health, education, infrastructure and housing follows.

In the Hunua Electorate, I am focused on ensuring the growth in new housing areas is well managed – it needs to be responsible growth. New housing developments should occur where it is appropriate and when they are linked to infrastructure such as water, roads and train services. When you get this balance right, you have a recipe for sustained growth that we can all feel comfortable with. In essence, it is about having vibrant communities that are well connected.

You walked to the South Pole a couple of years ago, what was the most memorable part?

Actually stepping off the Ilyushin aircraft onto the snow! It was the result of many years of planning and great to be finally in a position to climb four mountains (one unclimbed previously) and drag a sledge 112 kms to the South Pole. The other revealing aspect of visiting Antarctica is the visual assault on your eyes due to the exceptionally clear air – what looks like 5 kms away, is in fact 20 kms. In Antarctica this means you need to be very careful not to over-estimate distance and times, especially when you are high up on a mountain.

What is something about you that we wouldn’t already know, but should?

I have an identical twin brother – so be careful about which one you are talking to!

Who is someone that you aspire to be like in your political career?

Winston Churchill. The patience he displayed in his political career and command of the English language certainly distinguished him amongst his peers. His other interests and career also made him a much more interesting (and robust) character.

Five Young Kiwis who are Backing National

With just over 100 days to go until the election, hundreds of thousands of New Zealanders are already deciding to back National with their vote this year. They come from different backgrounds and points of view, and have a variety of different reasons for supporting National and John Key. Here are five young New Zealanders, and why they are each backing National and Team Key.


Bonnie, Librarian and Marine Science student from Auckland

I’m Backing National because… who wouldn’t want to party vote National? We’re kicking arse on the economy, welfare reform, justice, and health! I’ve been a party member since 2010, and I am so proud of the achievements this party has made in the past two terms. National has opened four marine reserves in this year alone, developed the EEZ Act to promote sustainable management in our waters, and funded research into learning about our amazing underwater environment. As someone who is particularly interested in marine conservation and science, these achievements have been amazing to watch.


Sam, Accounting grad from Christchurch

Sam, Accounting graduate from Christchurch

I’m Backing National because… well, the reason I’m backing National in 2014 can be summarised with one word, Opportunity. We all want the opportunity to succeed, to be rewarded for our hard work and to thrive in whatever we choose to do. We live in the best country in the world, and I back a government who delivers on equality of opportunity for all New Zealanders.


Anna, Law student from Dunedin

Anna, Law student from Dunedin

I’m Backing National… because within their latest term in government, the National Party under JK’s selfie-parading leadership, has brought us back into surplus, witnessed the changing of societal values through marriage equality and completed a number of outstanding Treaty settlements. This is a government that cares about the future of New Zealand families, and individual choice and freedom. Personal responsibility is a key (ha) value for the party, one that resonates well with most Kiwis. And I certainly want to live in a country that advocates for individual freedoms, choices, and challenges me to reach my potential.


Stefan from Auckland

Stefan, Commerce student from Auckland

I’m Backing National because… I got active in National just before the 2011 election. When Paula Bennett tells you to come and wave some signs in Henderson, you don’t bloody well argue! Jokes aside, I realised that National isn’t a party of fat cats, but hard working middle New Zealanders who believe in self-responsibility, reward for effort, and supporting the Kiwi battler. I heard the sacrifices members make for family and work in their daily lives, which mirror the struggles of everyone else in New Zealand. I decided I liked their aspiration and belief in National’s policy direction. I found myself agreeing with them, and wanting to be part of that positive direction.


James, History student from Auckland

I’m Backing National because… this is a party that knows what it’s doing. John Key’s decisive leadership has pulled New Zealand out of recession and National’s investment in health, education, infrastructure, and welfare has expanded the job market for many people. The National Party recognises and values diversity, and people from all walks of life. My parents worked hard to give me the best opportunities in life and taught me the value of hard work and individual responsibility. I believe National in government creates opportunities for everyone to succeed and achieve their personal goals in life.


Conference 2014


New Zealand Young Nationals 

Notice of Annual General Meeting 

27th June 2014


This is to give notice that the New Zealand Young Nationals Annual General Meeting will take place on Friday 27th June 2014 at National House, 41 Pipitea Street, in Wellington.

As per the Constitution and Rules of the New Zealand National Party, nominations for the National Executive must be supplied in writing by each region to the Secretary of the NZ Young Nationals, by 5pmFriday 13th June 2014. Regions are required to accompany those nominations with their most recent AGM and SGM minutes, which also verify the nominations.

Nominations for the following elected positions on the National Executive are open: President, Vice President, Treasurer, Secretary, Policy Officer, Projects Co-ordinator and Grassroots Co-ordinator.

Adam Roland


New Zealand Young Nationals

Meet the Candidate: Hamish Walker

Hamish Walker

Hamish Walker is National’s candidate for Dunedin South – he’s one of National’s youngest candidates this election, yet he brings a broad life experience – we asked him a few questions:

What is your number 1 policy priority for your time in Parliament? What would you like to change and why?

Drink Driving laws are a very personal one for me. My good friend Jonathan Keogh was killed by a recidivist drunk driver on Mother’s Day in 2006. I believe that anyone who repeatedly drink drives must be permanently prevented from driving, so no more innocent lives are lost. I believe we must deliver harsher consequences to recidivist offenders who are like dangerous weapons on our roads.

Who is a person that has inspired you to seek election, and why?

I believe John Key is the best leader we have ever had in NZ Politics. This is demonstrated by the highest ever election results under MMP in 2011. The Prime Minister demonstrates an extraordinary affinity and ability to interact with people and also strong leadership skills.

What is something that we don’t already know about you, but should?

I live with type one diabetes which involves monitoring my blood sugar levels daily and having several injections of insulin each day. I was diagnosed at the age of 14, which is a real blow for any teenager at an age when you are really trying to find your feet and who you are as a person. This had a real effect on my schooling, which resulted in me leaving school with no qualifications. However, the positive side of this is that it made me realise how short life is and really motivated me to get out there and make a go of life! Diabetes has never held me back from anything, apart from a dream of being a police officer. Even though I left school with no qualifications, I still went to Uni at the age of 23 and graduated with an accounting degree. I then worked for Deloitte and the BNZ and started my own successful property management business at the end of 2012 which I’m now franchising. I have also worked my way up the ranks of the rugby referee world, making my first class debut last year which only the top 20 or so (out of 4,000) rugby referees in NZ are fortunate enough to achieve.

You’ve travelled around the world as a rugby ref, where would call your favourite spot?

Really tough questions! Favourites are either Dubai or Fiji refereeing 7s, although I would have to say Fiji because of the people. I have been lucky enough to have made a few trips up to Fiji to referee 7s. This isn’t a sport to them, it is almost a religion! One trip in particular that comes to mind, was last year I was lucky enough to be on a trophy tour, the week prior to the tournament starting. Fiji’s most famous rugby player of all time Severi, Ben Gollings who is the highest IRB 7s points scorer of all time and myself were the three people promoting the tournament and touring Fiji with the trophy. Seeing the look on the Fijians faces when they saw Severi (who is like a god up there!) was a truly moving experience. Also Fiji would be the only place in the world where a rugby referee gets groupies!